Where we work.
A defined set of regions, covered closely, so every judgment rests on sources we know well. Select a country on the map to see what we watch there.
Map of the regions Complexus covers
The regions
Select a country
Hover over, tap or tab to any shaded country to see what we watch there.
Parts of North Africa, the Horn of Africa and most of Mongolia lie beyond the edges of the map.
The regions
Central Europe
Czechia · Hungary · Poland · Slovakia
NATO and the EU’s eastern flank: defence spending, energy supply away from Russia, rule-of-law disputes with Brussels, and manufacturing moving east from Germany.
The Baltics
Estonia · Latvia · Lithuania
Front-line states on Russia’s border: hybrid pressure, incidents on undersea cables and energy links, sanctions enforcement and transit to Kaliningrad.
Ukraine, Belarus, Moldova and Romania
Belarus · Moldova · Romania · Ukraine
The war in Ukraine and its spillover: the front line, strikes on energy and logistics, Black Sea shipping, reconstruction, Belarus’s role, and the exposure of Moldova and Romania on the border.
Russia
Sanctions and their enforcement, the wartime economy, asset seizures and exit terms for foreign companies, and pressure on Russia’s neighbours.
The Balkans
Albania · Bosnia & Herzegovina · Bulgaria · Croatia · Kosovo · Montenegro · North Macedonia · Serbia · Slovenia
EU accession and its stalls, Serbia–Kosovo tensions, Bosnia’s institutional crises, elections and street protest, and investment from China, Russia, Turkey and the Gulf.
Turkey
A swing power between NATO, Russia and the Middle East: currency and inflation risk, elections and the courts, trade with Russia under sanctions scrutiny, and Turkish contractors across the region.
The Caucasus
Armenia · Azerbaijan · Georgia
Armenia–Azerbaijan normalisation, Georgia’s politics and its relations with the EU, new transit corridors between Europe and Central Asia, and Russian and Iranian influence.
Central Asia and Mongolia
Kazakhstan · Kyrgyzstan · Mongolia · Tajikistan · Turkmenistan · Uzbekistan
The Middle Corridor, re-export trade to Russia and secondary-sanctions exposure, critical minerals, water and energy disputes, and succession politics.
The Middle East and North Africa
Algeria · Iran · Iraq · Israel · Jordan · Lebanon · Libya · Morocco · Syria · Tunisia
Red Sea and Gulf shipping, Iran and its allied groups, Iraqi and Kurdish oil, Syria’s transition, Israel and its neighbours, and North Africa’s energy links to Europe.
Engagements begin with a conversation.
What happens next
- We reply within one business day.
- A free 30-minute call to understand the question.
- A written proposal with scope, price and dates within two business days.
You will speak with Tyler Urish or Luca M. Mema. Everything you send is held in confidence.