Political-risk analysis for organisations exposed to Eastern Europe, the Balkans and Turkey.

Large risk firms are built for large clients. We work for the organisations in between: written analysis held to professional intelligence standards, scoped and priced to the decision in front of you.

OUR SERVICES WHERE WE WORK

Who we work for

Organisations that face real political risk abroad, usually without an analyst of their own.

Importers and exporters

A critical supplier or buyer in the Balkans, Turkey or Eastern Europe, and a sanctions or tariff change that could reach it.

Startups building teams abroad

Engineers or contractors in Ukraine, the Balkans or the Caucasus, and a board that wants to know what could disrupt them.

Nonprofits and NGOs

Staff and programmes in the field, and a duty of care that needs more than the news.

Investors and family offices

A new market or holding, and the political context that does not show up in the numbers.

How an engagement works

01
Introductory call
A free 30-minute conversation to understand the question and confirm this is the right service for it.
02
Written proposal
Scope, deliverables, price and dates, confirmed in writing within two business days.
03
Research and analysis
Current official and local-language sources, competing explanations tested, and a probability attached to every judgment.
04
Delivery and debrief
The written product, then a call to work through what it means for your decision.

Who does the work

Every engagement is led by the partners, and both partners review every assessment before it reaches you.

Tyler Urish

Managing Director · Geopolitical Analysis

Geopolitical analysis with a focus on Russian policy and strategy. Leads the forecasting method and coverage of Russia, Ukraine, the Baltics and Moldova.

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